Tung-Lin Wu vs Ryuki Matsuda Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Matsuda has a second serve point win rate of 41.95% in recent months, while Wu's is higher at 47.26%. Does this indicate Wu has an advantage? Likely yes.
• When returning second serves, Matsuda has an edge with a 46.45% success rate compared to Wu’s 45.25%.
• Matsuda is better at first serve returns, winning 31.03% of points compared to Wu's 27.02%, providing some defensive strength in the match.
• Under pressure, Wu has saved more breakpoints, 57.28% compared to Matsuda's 52.05%. This resilience could be key.
• Their win rates over the last year are nearly identical, with Matsuda at 52.31% and Wu at 51.85%, suggesting a closely contested match.
• Both players perform best on hard courts with similar win rates: Matsuda at 58% and Wu at 57%, indicating no clear advantage here.
• Wu has been competing at a higher tournament level, typically in Challengers, whereas Matsuda primarily plays in Futures/ITF events. Does this higher competition level benefit Wu? It might.
• In their head-to-head history, Wu leads 1-0, having won 6-0 6-2 in their only previous encounter, showing dominance in that match.
• Wu has faced opponents with a higher average ranking (260.94) over the last 12 months compared to Matsuda (455.11), which could reflect greater experience against tougher competition.
• In deciding sets, Matsuda has a better win rate at 60% compared to Wu's 30%, which may influence the outcome if the match is tightly contested.
• Both players have nearly identical breakpoint conversion rates, with Matsuda slightly ahead at 39.77% versus Wu's 39.32%.

Editorial Prediction (July 28, 2025, UTC):

Matsuda and Wu have shown comparable capabilities in many areas, but some critical differences could influence the outcome of their upcoming match.

Examining their second serve performances, Wu has a noticeable advantage, which could offer him additional opportunities to gain points.

Despite Matsuda's slightly stronger first serve return percentage, Wu's ability to save breakpoints more effectively could be crucial in clutch situations.

Wu's higher experience level, given his match history against stronger opponents and his previous victory over Matsuda, positions him favorably.

While Matsuda shows strength in deciding sets, if the match requires it, the prior head-to-head result and Wu's consistent performance might overshadow this advantage.

Considering these factors, Wu appears to have the upper hand and is most likely to win this upcoming tennis match.